NOAK Observatory (L02)

Ειδοποιήσεις από το σύστημα έγκαιρης προειδοποίησης DONKI της NASA (διαστημικός καιρός, Ήλιος)



NASA DONKI Notifications

NASA DONKI Notifications

Message Type: CME

Message ID: 20251117-AL-002

Issue Time: 2025-11-17T19:12Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (Europa Clipper, Juice)
##
## Message Issue Date: 2025-11-17T19:12:51Z
## Message ID: 20251117-AL-002
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

C-type CME detected by STEREO A / GOES / SOHO.

Start time of the event: 2025-11-17T15:36Z.

Estimated speed: ~733 km/s.

Estimated opening half-angle: 24 deg.

Direction (lon./lat.): 116/11 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.

Activity ID: 2025-11-17T15:36:00-CME-001

Based on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that the CME may impact Europa Clipper (glancing blow) and Juice (glancing blow). The flank of the CME will reach Europa Clipper at 2025-11-24T12:00Z and Juice at 2025-11-20T00:00Z (plus minus 7 hours).

Links to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2025-11-17T15:36:00-CME-001):

(a) 2 AU outer boundary
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251117_202200_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251117_202200_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251117_202200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251117_202200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Juice_timeline.gif

(b) 5.5 AU outer boundary
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251117_202200_5.5_anim.tim-den.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251117_202200_5.5_anim.tim-vel.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251117_202200_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_EuropaClippr_timeline.gif


## Notes:

This CME event (2025-11-17T15:36:00-CME-001) is associated with C6.1 flare from Active Region 14274 (N07W105) with ID 2025-11-17T14:31:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2025-11-17T16:06Z.


SCORE CME typification system:
S-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s
C-type: Common 500-999 km/s
O-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s
R-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s
ER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s


URL: View Details

GIFs:

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Notification GIF
Notification GIF
Notification GIF

Message Type: CME

Message ID: 20251117-AL-001

Issue Time: 2025-11-17T17:53Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (Parker Solar Probe)
##
## Message Issue Date: 2025-11-17T17:53:00Z
## Message ID: 20251117-AL-001
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

O-type CME detected by STEREO A / GOES / SOHO.

Start time of the event: 2025-11-17T15:15Z.

Estimated speed: ~1360 km/s.

Estimated opening half-angle: 17 deg.

Direction (lon./lat.): -70/-33 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.

Activity ID: 2025-11-17T15:15:00-CME-001

Based on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that the CME may impact Parker Solar Probe (glancing blow). The flank of the CME will reach Parker Solar Probe at 2025-11-18T20:00Z (plus minus 7 hours).

Links to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2025-11-17T15:15:00-CME-001):

http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251117_172800_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251117_172800_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251117_172800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251117_172800_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif


## Notes:


SCORE CME typification system:
S-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s
C-type: Common 500-999 km/s
O-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s
R-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s
ER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s


URL: View Details

GIFs:

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Message Type: IPS

Message ID: 20251116-AL-001

Issue Time: 2025-11-16T02:18Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - Interplanetary Shock
##
## Message Issue Date: 2025-11-16T02:18:17Z
## Message ID: 20251116-AL-001
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

Significant interplanetary shock detected by ACE at L1 at 2025-11-16T01:32Z.

The shock may be caused by CME with ID 2025-11-14T08:00:00-CME-001 (see notifications 20251114-AL-008, 20251114-AL-010). Some magnetospheric compression and geomagnetic storm possible.

Activity ID: 2025-11-16T01:32:00-IPS-001.

## Notes:



URL: View Details


Message Type: SEP

Message ID: 20251115-AL-003

Issue Time: 2025-11-15T20:44Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - SEP (STEREO A)
##
## Message Issue Date: 2025-11-15T20:44:54Z
## Message ID: 20251115-AL-003
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

Solar energetic particle event detected by STEREO A. The flux of 13-100 MeV protons exceeds 10^(-1) pfu/MeV starting at 2025-11-15T09:34Z.

NASA spacecraft at the orbits near STEREO A can be impacted.

Activity ID: 2025-11-15T09:34:00-SEP-001.

## Notes:
This SEP event (2025-11-15T09:35:00-SEP-001) may be associated with the Interplanetary Shock with ID 2025-11-15T15:56:00-IPS-001 and with the arrival of the CME with ID 2025-11-14T08:00:00-CME-001 (see notifications 20251114-AL-008, 20251114-AL-010). The STEREO A 13-100 MeV protons had been previously enhanced (but had already dipped below threshold before the start of the current SEP event) due to previous arrivals including the recent IPS: 2025-11-15T07:08Z associated with the arrival of CME: 2025-11-13T03:24Z.


URL: View Details


Message Type: SEP

Message ID: 20251115-AL-002

Issue Time: 2025-11-15T13:48Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - SEP (STEREO A)
##
## Message Issue Date: 2025-11-15T13:48:49Z
## Message ID: 20251115-AL-002
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

Solar energetic particle event detected by STEREO A. The flux of 13-100 MeV protons exceeds 10^(-1) pfu/MeV starting at 2025-11-15T03:42Z.

NASA spacecraft at the orbits near STEREO A can be impacted.

Activity ID: 2025-11-15T03:42:00-SEP-001.

## Notes:

This SEP event (2025-11-15T03:42:00-SEP-001) may be associated with the Interplanetary Shock with ID 2025-11-15T07:08:00-IPS-001 and with the arrival of the CME with ID 2025-11-13T03:24:00-CME-001 (see notifications 20251113-AL-005, 20251113-AL-006).


URL: View Details


Message Type: SEP

Message ID: 20251115-AL-001

Issue Time: 2025-11-15T03:55Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Auto-generated Space Weather Notification - SEP
##
## Message Issue Date: 2025-11-15T03:55:04Z
## Message ID: 20251115-AL-001
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

Solar energetic particle event detected by STEREO A. The flux of 13-100 MeV protons exceeds 10^(-1) pfu/MeV starting at 2025-11-15T03:42Z.

Activity ID: 2025-11-15T03:42:00-SEP-001.

## Notes:



URL: View Details


Message Type: CME

Message ID: 20251114-AL-011

Issue Time: 2025-11-14T20:14Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (Parker Solar Probe)
##
## Message Issue Date: 2025-11-14T20:14:56Z
## Message ID: 20251114-AL-011
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

O-type CME detected by STEREO A / GOES / SOHO.

Start time of the event: 2025-11-14T01:25Z.

Estimated speed: ~1081 km/s.

Estimated opening half-angle: 24 deg.

Direction (lon./lat.): -119/-37 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.

Activity ID: 2025-11-14T01:25:00-CME-001

Based on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that the CME may impact Parker Solar Probe (glancing blow). The flank of the CME may reach Parker Solar Probe at 2025-11-15T16:00Z (plus minus 7 hours).

Links to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2025-11-14T01:25:00-CME-001):

(a) 2 AU outer boundary
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_041300_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_041300_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_041300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_041300_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif

(b) 5.5 AU outer boundary
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_041300_5.5_anim.tim-den.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_041300_5.5_anim.tim-vel.gif


## Notes:


SCORE CME typification system:
S-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s
C-type: Common 500-999 km/s
O-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s
R-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s
ER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s


URL: View Details

GIFs:

Notification GIF
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Message Type: CME

Message ID: 20251114-AL-010

Issue Time: 2025-11-14T17:38Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (Juno, BepiColombo, OSIRIS-APEX, Solar Orbiter, STEREO A, Missions Near Earth)
##
## Message Issue Date: 2025-11-14T17:38:16Z
## Message ID: 20251114-AL-010
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

O-type CME detected by STEREO A / GOES / SOHO.

Start time of the event: 2025-11-14T08:00Z.

Estimated speed: ~1534 km/s.

Estimated opening half-angle: 40 deg.

Direction (lon./lat.): 62/9 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.

Activity ID: 2025-11-14T08:00:00-CME-001

Based on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect Juno (glancing blow), BepiColombo, OSIRIS-APEX, Solar Orbiter, and STEREO A. The leading edge of the CME will reach BepiColombo at 2025-11-14T20:07Z, OSIRIS-APEX at 2025-11-16T01:12Z, Solar Orbiter at 2025-11-15T20:41Z, and STEREO A at 2025-11-15T20:37Z (plus minus 7 hours). The flank of the CME may reach Juno at 2025-11-26T00:00Z (plus minus 7 hours).

The simulation also indicates that the CME may have a glancing blow at NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the flank of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2025-11-16T10:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 4-7 (below minor to strong).


Links to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2025-11-14T08:00:00-CME-001):

(a) 2 AU outer boundary
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_104000_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_104000_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_104000_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_104000_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_104000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_104000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_104000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_104000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_104000_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

(b) 5.5 AU outer boundary
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_104000_5.5_anim.tim-den.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_104000_5.5_anim.tim-vel.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_104000_5.5_ENLIL_CONE_Juno_timeline.gif


## Notes:

This CME event (2025-11-14T08:00:00-CME-001) is associated with X4.0 flare from Active Region 14274 (N24W71) with ID 2025-11-14T07:44:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2025-11-14T08:30Z (see notifications 20251114-AL-002 and 20251114-AL-004), and SEP events at GOES with ID 2025-11-14T09:20:00-SEP-001 (see notifications 20251114-AL-003 and 20251114-AL-005), at SOHO with ID 2025-11-14T12:32:00-SEP-001, and at STEREO A with ID 2025-11-14T12:33:00-SEP-001 (see notifications 20251114-AL-006 and 20251114-AL-007).


SCORE CME typification system:
S-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s
C-type: Common 500-999 km/s
O-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s
R-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s
ER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s


URL: View Details

GIFs:

Notification GIF
Notification GIF
Notification GIF
Notification GIF
Notification GIF
Notification GIF
Notification GIF
Notification GIF
Notification GIF
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Notification GIF
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Message Type: SEP

Message ID: 20251114-AL-009

Issue Time: 2025-11-14T14:03Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - SEP (SOHO)
##
## Message Issue Date: 2025-11-14T14:03:40Z
## Message ID: 20251114-AL-009
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

Solar energetic particle event detected by SOHO. The flux of one or more of the >15.8 MeV protons channels exceeds 10^(-1) pfu/MeV starting at 2025-11-14T12:32Z.

NASA spacecraft at the orbits near L1 and near-Earth orbits can be impacted.

Activity ID: 2025-11-14T12:32:00-SEP-001.

## Notes:

This SEP event (2025-11-14T12:32:00-SEP-001) is associated with X4.0 flare from Active Region 14274 (N24W71) with ID 2025-11-14T07:44:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2025-11-14T08:30Z (see notifications 20251114-AL-002 and 20251114-AL-004) and CME with ID 2025-11-14T08:00:00-CME-001 (see notification 20251114-AL-008).


URL: View Details


Message Type: CME

Message ID: 20251114-AL-008

Issue Time: 2025-11-14T13:56Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (Missions near Earth, STEREO A, Solar Orbiter, OSIRIS-APEX, BepiColombo)
##
## Message Issue Date: 2025-11-14T13:56:43Z
## Message ID: 20251114-AL-008
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

O-type CME detected by STEREO A / GOES / SOHO.

Start time of the event: 2025-11-14T08:00Z.

Estimated speed: ~1261 km/s.

Estimated opening half-angle: 45 deg.

Direction (lon./lat.): 70/22 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.

NASA spacecraft near the L1 Lagrange point, STEREO A, the Solar Orbiter, OSIRIS-APEX, BepiColombo, and missions near the Earth can be affected. Updates on this event will be provided when available.

Activity ID: 2025-11-14T08:00:00-CME-001

## Notes:

This CME event (2025-11-14T08:00:00-CME-001) is associated with X4.0 flare from Active Region 14274 (N24W71) with ID 2025-11-14T07:44:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2025-11-14T08:30Z (see notifications 20251114-AL-002 and 20251114-AL-004), and SEP events at GOES with ID 2025-11-14T09:20:00-SEP-001 (see notifications 20251114-AL-003 and 20251114-AL-005), at SOHO with ID 2025-11-14T12:32:00-SEP-001, and at STEREO A with ID 2025-11-14T12:33:00-SEP-001 (see notifications 20251114-AL-006 and 20251114-AL-007).


SCORE CME typification system:
S-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s
C-type: Common 500-999 km/s
O-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s
R-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s
ER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s


URL: View Details


Message Type: SEP

Message ID: 20251114-AL-007

Issue Time: 2025-11-14T13:00Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - SEP (STEREO A)
##
## Message Issue Date: 2025-11-14T13:00:07Z
## Message ID: 20251114-AL-007
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

Solar energetic particle event detected by STEREO A. The flux of 13-100 MeV protons exceeds 10^(-1) pfu/MeV starting at 2025-11-14T12:33Z.

NASA spacecraft located near STEREO A can be impacted.

Activity ID: 2025-11-14T12:33:00-SEP-001.

## Notes: This SEP event is associated with an X4.0-class flare from Active Region 14274 (N24W71) with ID 2025-11-14T07:44:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2025-11-14T08:30Z (see notifications 20251114-AL-002 and 20251114-AL-004) and an asymmetric halo CME which is still under analysis.

URL: View Details


Message Type: SEP

Message ID: 20251114-AL-006

Issue Time: 2025-11-14T12:46Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Auto-generated Space Weather Notification - SEP
##
## Message Issue Date: 2025-11-14T12:46:50Z
## Message ID: 20251114-AL-006
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

Solar energetic particle event detected by STEREO A. The flux of 13-100 MeV protons exceeds 10^(-1) pfu/MeV starting at 2025-11-14T12:33Z.

Activity ID: 2025-11-14T12:33:00-SEP-001.

## Notes:



URL: View Details


Message Type: SEP

Message ID: 20251114-AL-005

Issue Time: 2025-11-14T12:39Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - SEP (GOES)
##
## Message Issue Date: 2025-11-14T12:39:54Z
## Message ID: 20251114-AL-005
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

Solar energetic particle event detected by GOES. The flux of > 10 MeV protons exceeded 10 pfu starting at 2025-11-11T09:45Z (see notification 20251111-AL-003 and 20251111-AL-008). An additional rise in the proton flux started after 2025-11-14T09:20Z, reaching 15.6 pfu so far. This additional enhancement of the ongoing SEP event was associated with an X4.0 flare from Active Region 14274 (N24W71) with ID 2025-11-14T07:44:00-FLR-001 which peaked at 2025-11-14T08:30Z (see notifications 20251114-AL-002 and 20251114-AL-004).

NASA spacecraft at MEO, GEO and other high-altitude orbits and high-inclination LEO can be impacted.

Activity ID: 2025-11-14T09:20:00-SEP-001.

## Notes:



URL: View Details


Message Type: FLR

Message ID: 20251114-AL-004

Issue Time: 2025-11-14T12:30Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - X4.0 Flare
##
## Message Issue Date: 2025-11-14T12:30:19Z
## Message ID: 20251114-AL-004
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

Significant flare detected by GOES.

Flare start time: 2025-11-14T07:44Z.

Flare peak time: 2025-11-14T08:30Z.

Flare intensity: X4.0 class.

Source region: N24W71 (Active Region 14274) (based on GOES SUVI imagery).

Increased energetic proton fluxes possible. Updates on this event will be provided when available.

Activity ID: 2025-11-14T07:44:00-FLR-001.

## Notes:



URL: View Details


Message Type: SEP

Message ID: 20251114-AL-003

Issue Time: 2025-11-14T09:28Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Auto-generated Space Weather Notification - SEP
##
## Message Issue Date: 2025-11-14T09:28:41Z
## Message ID: 20251114-AL-003
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

Solar energetic particle event detected by GOES. The flux of > 10 MeV protons exceeds 10 pfu starting at 2025-11-14T09:20Z.

NASA spacecraft at MEO, GEO and other high-altitude orbits and high-inclination LEO can be impacted.

Activity ID: 2025-11-14T09:20:00-SEP-001.

## Notes:



URL: View Details


Message Type: FLR

Message ID: 20251114-AL-002

Issue Time: 2025-11-14T08:28Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Auto-generated Space Weather Notification - Flare intensity has crossed the threshold of M5.0
##
## Message Issue Date: 2025-11-14T08:28:41Z
## Message ID: 20251114-AL-002
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:


Significant flare detected by GOES. Flare intensity has crossed the threshold of M5.0.

Flare M5.0 crossing time: 2025-11-14T08:23Z.

Increased energetic proton fluxes possible. Updates on this event will be provided when available.

## Notes:



URL: View Details


Message Type: CME

Message ID: 20251114-AL-001

Issue Time: 2025-11-14T01:01Z

Message Body: ## Community Coordinated Modeling Center Database Of Notifications, Knowledge, Information ( CCMC DONKI )
## Message Type: Space Weather Notification - CME (BepiColombo, Missions Near Earth)
##
## Message Issue Date: 2025-11-14T01:01:45Z
## Message ID: 20251114-AL-001
##
## Disclaimer: NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center is the United States Government official source for space weather forecasts. This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.


## Summary:

S-type CME detected by STEREO A.

Start time of the event: 2025-11-13T19:53Z.

Estimated speed: ~494 km/s.

Estimated opening half-angle: 21 deg.

Direction (lon./lat.): -20/-21 in Heliocentric Earth Equatorial coordinates.

Activity ID: 2025-11-13T19:53:00-CME-001

Based on preliminary analysis by the Moon to Mars Space Weather Analysis Office and heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA Community Coordinated Modeling Center, it is estimated that this CME may affect BepiColombo (glancing blow). The flank of the CME may reach BepiColombo at 2025-11-14T18:00Z (plus minus 7 hours).

The simulation also indicates that the CME may have a glancing blow at NASA missions near Earth. Simulations indicate that the flank of the CME will reach NASA missions near Earth at about 2025-11-16T12:00Z (plus minus 7 hours). The roughly estimated expected range of the maximum Kp index is 4-6 (below minor to moderate).


Links to the movies of the modeled event (includes CME: 2025-11-13T19:53:00-CME-001):

http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_022100_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_022100_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_022100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20251114_022100_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Bepi_timeline.gif


## Notes:


SCORE CME typification system:
S-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s
C-type: Common 500-999 km/s
O-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s
R-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s
ER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s


URL: View Details

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